I’m not entirely sure – from what I know the people in charge of the flu vaccine know which strains of flu are going to be the most common that year – probably by some sort of complex statistical modelling and I’ll admit I don’t know how it works!
The antigen that you get in the flu vaccine is directed to 3 or 4 of the most common viral strains for that year, so they can be sure that you are not going to contract the flu that is most common at that time.
It’s essentially based on the last year’s most common forms of the virus. Although it will be different, your immune system will be primed for a very close “cousin” and therefore will still recognize it faster that if you were not vaccinated.
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